-
- Interest Rate3.75
- Inflation Rate MoM0
- Inflation Expectations3.7
- Retail Sales MoM0.2
- GDP Growth Rate1.5
- Manufacturing PMI53.8
- Services PMI 53.6
- Unemployment Rate4.2
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 0.38Retail Sales MoM
- 0.9GDP Growth Rate
- 51.7Manufacturing PMI
- 54.1Services PMI
- 5Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2026-08-03 04:10 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot:
S1:
S2:
S3:
R1:
R2:
R3:
USDCNY, Retail traders Sentiment
USDCNY, Retails Liquidity history
>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous 15,614
Current 17,197
Changes +1583 10%
Licensed User access
Base: USD
Interest rate: 3.75%
Bonds: 0 , chg: 0 (0%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Strong
Fundamental Score: -10
Retail Short pos ratio: %
Retail trader Sell position:
Retail trader Sell volume: lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (): 0
Quote: CNY
Interest rate: 3%
Bonds, : 0 , chg: 0 (0%)
Fundamental Bias: 0 0
Fundamental Score: 0
Retail Long pos ratio: %
Retail trader Long position:
Retail trader Buy volume: lot
Distance to Support S4 (): 0
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bullish Strong
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)
Bullish
People's Bank of China (PBOC) rate: 3%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: May 20, 2025 (-10bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate3.75
- CPI y/y3.5
- Inflation Rate MoM0
- Producer Prices Change5.5
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0
- Consumer Price Index CPI334
- Inflation Expectations3.7
- Retail Sales MoM0.2
- Core Producer Prices MoM0.2
- GDP Growth Rate1.5
- Manufacturing PMI53.8
- Services PMI 53.6
- Non Manufacturing PMI54
- Unemployment Rate4.2
- Employment Rate59
- Initial Jobless Claims197
- Non Farm Payrolls57
- Average Hourly Earnings0.3
- ADP Employment Change98
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence55.2
- TOTAL SCORE-7
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 1CPI y/y
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 4.1Producer Prices Change
- 0Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 101Consumer Price Index CPI
- 0.38Retail Sales MoM
- 0.9GDP Growth Rate
- 51.7Manufacturing PMI
- 54.1Services PMI
- 49Non Manufacturing PMI
- 5Unemployment Rate
- 126Balance of Trade
- 89.9Consumer Confidence
- 2TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the quote currency is outperforming the base currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to sell the pair. This pessimism outlook, driven by the quote currency's strength versus the base currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of selling activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
USDCNY Analysis
Introduction
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve policy is Dovish with the (FED) current Interest rate 3.75%. Latest change was Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the People's Bank of China policy is Dovish and (PBOC) has set its interest rate to 3% by latest change, May 20, 2025 (-10bp).
(FED) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in USD. This tends to attract foreign capital into USD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of USD is Strong Bullish
Ziwox considering Strong Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
mid-term Fundamental Score for USD is -10. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term downside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "Sydney & Tokyo", Market risk sentiment is Strong Risk-OFF. The Yen and United States Dollar recorded the strongest performance, while the New Zealand Dollar and Gold are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a -0.24% decrease against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been -0.07% down so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been -0.14% down as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has dropped by -0.22%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.31%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced 0.76% rise
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced -0.23% fall so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.14%
Market risk sentiment is OFF, Investors seek safety, favoring safe-haven currencies and assets while selling off riskier investments.
Market Sentiment and Positioning
Retail Traders:
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
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